Peninsula Power 4-0 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.5pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.64/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.77
+14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
484 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses 11.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.08 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
358 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-1 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
18.06.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
14.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
08.07.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
10.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
25.09.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power cruised past Brisbane Roar II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Peninsula Power and 1.17 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Brisbane Roar II?

Peninsula Power 4-0 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 58%, draw 21%, Brisbane Roar II 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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