Gold Coast United 0-2 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
6.35
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
72%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
48%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
13%
-2.4pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.9pp
72%
Away Win
70%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.62/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/1.32
-38% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.06.2025 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
25.04.2025 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 0-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
20.08.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
23.06.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 HT 2-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior got the better of Gold Coast United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gold Coast United and 1.50 for Moreton City Excelsior.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Gold Coast United 0-2 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 10%, draw 18%, Moreton City Excelsior 72%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5
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