Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.2pp
28%
Draw
19%
+9.1pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.76/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.70
-29% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Gold Coast United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
25.04.2025 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 0-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
20.08.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
23.06.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 HT 2-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior cruised past Gold Coast United 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 0.00 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United?

Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 Gold Coast United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 50%, draw 28%, Gold Coast United 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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