Moreton City Excelsior 0-0 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
16%
3.8
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.29
Over 2.5
65%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.9pp
16%
Draw
23%
-6.3pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
40%
-4.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
60%
+4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreton City Excelsior
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gold Coast United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.08.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
23.06.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-0 HT 2-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior and Gold Coast United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Moreton City Excelsior at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Moreton City Excelsior and 0.00 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United?

Moreton City Excelsior 0-0 Gold Coast United in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 49%, draw 16%, Gold Coast United 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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