Operario 2-1 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.93
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
Crosses 21.2
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario
2-1
AWAY Novorizontino
0.61 xG 2.23
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
341 Passes 256
5 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Operario vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario squeezed past Novorizontino 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Operario made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.61 to 2.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Operario vs Novorizontino?

Operario 2-1 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Operario 37%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Operario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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