12/07/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
1-2
Marupe vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
46%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Grobina win — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
16%
Home Win
12%
19%
Draw
18%
65%
Away Win
70%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Grobina — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marupe
The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY
Grobina
The Market 75%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
1.51/3.74
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
8.00/2.00
+21%
/
-4%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+121%
/
-36%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
6
283 · 0%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
429 · 0%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Marupe vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Grobina squeezed past Marupe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Grobina as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Grobina?
Marupe 0-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Cup on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Grobina?
Before kick-off our model rated an Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Marupe 16%, draw 19%, Grobina 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grobina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Grobina)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
LETK
More Latvia - Cup
12 Jul 2026