Valmiera / BSS 2-4 Ogre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
29%
Over Pick
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
46%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
45%
+3.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ogre United The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Ogre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United beat Valmiera / BSS 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera / BSS at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Ogre United?

Valmiera / BSS 2-4 Ogre United in the Latvia - Cup on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Ogre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 49%, draw 19%, Ogre United 32%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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