Spartak Kostroma 3-1 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.08
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
274 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Kostroma
0W-2D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2026 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RUS1
11.10.2025 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 1-1 HT 1-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
25.09.2025 KAMAZ KAMAZ 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RKBL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
3-1
AWAY KAMAZ
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma beat KAMAZ 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Kostroma as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KAMAZ led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spartak Kostroma and 1.00 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ?

Spartak Kostroma 3-1 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 50%, draw 27%, KAMAZ 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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