Athlone Town 2-3 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Aug 2024

Athlone Town
2-3 HT 2-0
Wexford Youths
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athlone Town v Wexford Youths — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.81/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.78
+35% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wexford Youths
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
16.02.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
25.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
07.07.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-4 HT 1-4 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.04.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
03.03.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1

Athlone Town 2-3 Wexford Youths — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
2-3
AWAY Wexford Youths
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths nicked a narrow win over Athlone Town 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Wexford Youths found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 39% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 61%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Athlone Town and 1.33 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Athlone Town 2-3 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 39%, draw 24%, Wexford Youths 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athlone Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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