Wexford Youths 2-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.64
Over 2.5
62%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
4.44
6+ Goals
12%
23.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.44 — our 27% vs market 17.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
57%
-18.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
43%
+18.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
1.77/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.91
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
25.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
07.07.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-4 HT 1-4 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.04.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
03.03.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 3-0 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
09.09.2022 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths and Athlone Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wexford Youths and 2.00 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Athlone Town?

Wexford Youths 2-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 44%, draw 24%, Athlone Town 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wexford Youths) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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