03/05/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Kerry vs Cork City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
28%
Draw
24%
48%
Away Win
60%
53%
Under 2.5
57%
47%
Over 2.5
43%
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
53%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kerry v Cork City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kerry
EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY
Cork City
EU Bookmakers 64%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+2%
0.83/2.26
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.37/0.30
-8%
/
-13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-33%
/
+150%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
10
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
188 · 58%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
353 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Kerry vs Cork City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kerry
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Cork City
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Kerry vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cork City squeezed past Kerry 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Kerry vs Cork City?
Kerry 0-1 Cork City in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kerry vs Cork City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kerry 24%, draw 28%, Cork City 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Cork City)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İR1
More Ireland - 1st Division
3 May 2024