Örgryte 3-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.97
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
15%
6.05
X/2
13%
5.37
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
3.35
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
35%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.01
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Örebro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.09.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 0-3 HT 0-2 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
16.05.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
08.08.2022 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
05.07.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 2-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
27.02.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-3 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
3-1
AWAY Örebro
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte beat Örebro 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Örgryte as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Örgryte had 42% of the ball to Örebro's 58%, shots finished 9-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Örgryte and 0.67 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Örebro?

Örgryte 3-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 43%, draw 25%, Örebro 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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