Örebro 0-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
15%
6.87
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
13%
4.59
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 6% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.42/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.51
-10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Örgryte
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 0-3 HT 0-2 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
16.05.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
08.08.2022 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
05.07.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 2-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
27.02.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-3 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
21.10.2013 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
0-0
AWAY Örgryte
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro and Örgryte fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Örebro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Örebro had 50% of the ball to Örgryte's 50%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Örebro and 1.17 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Örgryte?

Örebro 0-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Örebro 42%, draw 24%, Örgryte 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Örebro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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