Östers 2-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.79
2-3 Goals
40%
2.16
4-5 Goals
23%
2.48
6+ Goals
13%
5.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.61
X/2
6%
21.85
X/X
10%
9.78
2/1
7%
20.1
2/2
4%
14.9
2/X
6%
23.15
Value flag · X/1 at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.85/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.25
-6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -19%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
468 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Östers Östers 4-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
24.04.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-3 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
20.11.2021 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
11.05.2021 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
05.09.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-2 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
25.07.2020 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östers vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers beat GIF Sundsvall 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Östers and 1.17 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Östers vs GIF Sundsvall?

Östers 2-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Östers 62%, draw 23%, GIF Sundsvall 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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