Gefle 2-2 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Jul 2024

Gefle
2-2 HT 2-2
Trelleborgs FF
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Gefle vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.22
X/2
11%
6.41
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
10%
4.13
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gefle v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.81/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.58
+22% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Gefle vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
02.04.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
21.08.2017 Gefle Gefle 1-2 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
19.06.2017 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
26.02.2017 Gefle Gefle 1-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇK
06.08.2011 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-0 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ

Gefle 2-2 Trelleborgs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
2-2
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle and Trelleborgs FF couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gefle at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gefle had 44% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 56%, shots finished 8-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gefle and 1.17 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Trelleborgs FF?

Gefle 2-2 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gefle 41%, draw 28%, Trelleborgs FF 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gefle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gefle) ✓ BTTS Yes
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