Hammarby 3-3 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 12 Aug 2024

Hammarby
3-3 HT 3-1
Brommapojkarna
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.75
2-3 Goals
42%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
10%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.47
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
10%
4.88
X/2
14%
8.04
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.6
2/2
13%
4.95
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Brommapojkarna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +27%
1.53/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.24
+25% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.4 Crosses 24.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.72 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
450 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.07.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
21.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.06.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.03.2020 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
07.10.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-4 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
16.04.2018 Hammarby Hammarby 4-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ

Hammarby 3-3 Brommapojkarna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
3-3
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.48 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
513 Passes 309
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby and Brommapojkarna shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby had 60% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 40%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.48 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hammarby and 0.67 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna?

Hammarby 3-3 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 41%, draw 26%, Brommapojkarna 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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