Brommapojkarna 0-2 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Jul 2024

Brommapojkarna
0-2 HT 0-0
Hammarby
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.84
2-3 Goals
45%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 24% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.81
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.01
X/2
12%
6.86
X/X
10%
5.67
2/1
12%
22.3
2/2
16%
4.35
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brommapojkarna v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
1.34/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.50
-5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
26.4 Crosses 18.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hammarby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.96 xG 1.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
335 Passes 458
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
09.06.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.03.2020 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
07.10.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-4 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
16.04.2018 Hammarby Hammarby 4-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
25.02.2014 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 3-2 HT 2-2 Hammarby Hammarby HAZ

Brommapojkarna 0-2 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
0-2
AWAY Hammarby
1.20 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
321 Passes 420
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby beat Brommapojkarna 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Hammarby made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 44% of the ball to Hammarby's 56%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.20 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brommapojkarna and 2.33 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby?

Brommapojkarna 0-2 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 37%, draw 27%, Hammarby 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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