Kalmar vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kalmar v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals
Kalmar vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
İSÇ
3-1
HT 2-0
Kalmar
İSÇ
3-2
HT 2-0
Kalmar
İSÇ
1-0
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
İSÇ
0-2
HT 0-2
Djurgarden
İSÇK
3-2
HT 3-0
Kalmar
İSÇ
Kalmar 2-1 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics
Kalmar squeezed past Djurgarden 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kalmar had 44% of the ball to Djurgarden's 56%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.19 to 2.41 — the balance of chances actually favoured Djurgarden.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kalmar and 2.00 for Djurgarden.
What was the final score of Kalmar vs Djurgarden?
Kalmar 2-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Djurgarden?
Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 30%, draw 24%, Djurgarden 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.