IFK Varnamo 2-2 Hacken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 20 Jul 2024

IFK Varnamo
2-2 HT 0-2
Hacken
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Hacken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 25% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.82
1/2
6%
23.15
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.22
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.39
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.13
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · X/2 at 5.39 — our 21% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.3pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Hacken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hacken EU Bookmakers 45%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
0.95/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.51
-38% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
17.3 Crosses 18.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

IFK Varnamo vs Hacken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hacken
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.39 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
416 Passes 433
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 46
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.07.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
29.04.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-1 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
27.08.2022 Hacken Hacken 4-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
09.05.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 1-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
18.02.2018 Hacken Hacken 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
09.03.2013 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-3 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇK

IFK Varnamo 2-2 Hacken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
2-2
AWAY Hacken
1.48 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
431 Passes 319
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Hacken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo and Hacken shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hacken at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 57% of the ball to Hacken's 43%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.48 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IFK Varnamo and 2.33 for Hacken.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Hacken?

IFK Varnamo 2-2 Hacken in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Hacken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 35%, draw 24%, Hacken 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✗ BTTS No
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