Internacional 2-2 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 35% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.6
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
23%
4.12
X/2
8%
8.08
X/X
13%
4.0
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
6.72
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.51/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.48
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.4 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 343
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
22.09.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 1-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.05.2023 Internacional Internacional 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
06.11.2022 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
16.07.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-0 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
14.11.2021 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
2-2
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
2.54 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 0
388 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 26
34 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional and Atletico Paranaense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 54% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 46%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.54 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Internacional and 1.00 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense?

Internacional 2-2 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Internacional 43%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →