CRB 0-1 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
13%
7.19
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.25/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.11
+26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.1 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.98 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
263 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
27.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
13.05.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
24.07.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 2-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
05.05.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-1 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
0-1
AWAY Novorizontino
0.54 xG 0.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
339 Passes 162
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
7 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CRB vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino nicked a narrow win over CRB 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CRB at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, CRB had 62% of the ball to Novorizontino's 38%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CRB had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for CRB and 1.20 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of CRB vs Novorizontino?

CRB 0-1 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CRB 43%, draw 30%, Novorizontino 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CRB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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