Novorizontino 2-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.71
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.1pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.37/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.27
+7% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
24.1 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novorizontino
1W-0D-3L
AWAY CRB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.22 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
291 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
13.05.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
24.07.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 2-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
05.05.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-1 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
2-1
AWAY CRB
1.02 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 Passes 227
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino nicked a narrow win over CRB 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novorizontino had 51% of the ball to CRB's 49%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.02 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novorizontino and 1.25 for CRB.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs CRB?

Novorizontino 2-1 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 52%, draw 27%, CRB 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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