Operario PR 1-0 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.36
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Operario PR EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.06/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.17
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.5 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Operario PR
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Avai
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.28 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
23.07.2021 Avai Avai 1-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
04.12.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
02.09.2020 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 2-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Operario PR
1-0
AWAY Avai
0.65 xG 0.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
353 Passes 223
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
8 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Operario PR vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR edged past Avai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Operario PR made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Operario PR had 58% of the ball to Avai's 42%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.65 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Operario PR and 1.25 for Avai.

What was the final score of Operario PR vs Avai?

Operario PR 1-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Operario PR vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Operario PR win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Operario PR 39%, draw 31%, Avai 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Operario PR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Operario PR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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