Amazonas vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amazonas v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Amazonas 2-3 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife edged past Amazonas 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sport Recife found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Amazonas had 54% of the ball to Sport Recife's 46%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.58 to 2.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sport Recife's control.
What was the final score of Amazonas vs Sport Recife?
Amazonas 2-3 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 30%, draw 30%, Sport Recife 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.