Santos vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Santos
BRK
2-0
HT 0-0
Paysandu
BRK
2-3
HT 2-1
Santos
BR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
Santos 2-0 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Santos saw off Paysandu 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Santos had 48% of the ball to Paysandu's 52%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.09 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Santos and 1.00 for Paysandu.
What was the final score of Santos vs Paysandu?
Santos 2-0 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santos 53%, draw 25%, Paysandu 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.