Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 12 Aug 2024

Septemvri Sofia
0-1 HT 0-1
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Septemvri Sofia v Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 40%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.39/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.28
-67% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
0-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 nicked a narrow win over Septemvri Sofia 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 53% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 47%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 38%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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