Mushuc Runa 3-0 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 28%
+19% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.32
+47% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.6 Crosses 13.1
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Emelec
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.79 xG 1.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
23.09.2023 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 1-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
24.04.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
02.10.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
08.05.2022 Emelec Emelec 4-0 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
06.11.2021 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 1-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
3-0
AWAY Emelec
1.94 xG 0.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
124 Passes 238
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Emelec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa ran out comfortable winners over Emelec 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mushuc Runa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 40% of the ball to Emelec's 60%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.94 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Mushuc Runa and 1.50 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Emelec?

Mushuc Runa 3-0 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mushuc Runa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 45%, draw 27%, Emelec 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mushuc Runa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mushuc Runa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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