12/08/2024
·
11:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Arema Malang vs Dewa United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
31%
Draw
26%
37%
Away Win
31%
56%
Under 2.5
44%
44%
Over 2.5
56%
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
43%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arema Malang v Dewa United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Arema Malang
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dewa United
EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
1.10/1.06
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.59/1.62
-23%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+28%
/
-16%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
5
344 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
208 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Arema Malang vs Dewa United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Arema Malang
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Dewa United
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
07.12.2022
Dewa United
0-2
HT 0-1
Arema Malang
ENDL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Arema Malang
ENDL1
POST-MATCH
Arema Malang vs Dewa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Arema Malang and Dewa United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Arema Malang vs Dewa United?
Arema Malang 0-0 Dewa United in the Indonesia League 1 on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arema Malang vs Dewa United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dewa United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arema Malang 32%, draw 31%, Dewa United 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dewa United), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Dewa United)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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ENDL1
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12 Aug 2024