Semen Padang 1-3 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.82
Over 2.5
36%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
51%
+12.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
49%
-12.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.0pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 57%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.56
+42% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +70%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Borneo FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
17.12.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-1 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
08.01.2015 Semen Padang Semen Padang 2-0 HT 1-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Semen Padang
1-3
AWAY Borneo FC
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC got the better of Semen Padang 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borneo FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Semen Padang had 36% of the ball to Borneo FC's 64%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Semen Padang had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Semen Padang and 0.50 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs Borneo FC?

Semen Padang 1-3 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 28%, draw 27%, Borneo FC 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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