Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
12%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.16/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.91
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.8 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Smouha
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 Passes 237
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
07.06.2023 Smouha Smouha 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.01.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
04.08.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
08.03.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
15.05.2021 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
0-1
AWAY Smouha
1.19 xG 1.11
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
387 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 15
5 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha squeezed past Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ceramica Cleopatra at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 59% of the ball to Smouha's 41%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.19 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.33 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha?

Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 41%, draw 26%, Smouha 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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12 Aug 2024
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