Valerenga II 1-0 Kjelsas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.18
Draw
17%
6.26
Away
63%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
10.45
2-3 Goals
34%
2.6
4-5 Goals
30%
2.32
6+ Goals
13%
3.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
11%
+9.3pp
17%
Draw
13%
+3.8pp
63%
Away Win
76%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 80%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.73/3.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.32
-38% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kjelsas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.05.2024 Kjelsas Kjelsas 3-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
23.10.2023 Valerenga II Valerenga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
12.06.2023 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
12.09.2022 Valerenga II Valerenga II 0-3 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
25.07.2022 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
14.09.2020 Valerenga II Valerenga II 2-1 HT 1-1 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga II
1-0
AWAY Kjelsas
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valerenga II vs Kjelsas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga II edged past Kjelsas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kjelsas at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga II had 51% of the ball to Kjelsas's 49%, shots finished 5-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kjelsas led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valerenga II and 1.83 for Kjelsas.

What was the final score of Valerenga II vs Kjelsas?

Valerenga II 1-0 Kjelsas in the Norway - 2nd Division on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga II vs Kjelsas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Valerenga II 20%, draw 17%, Kjelsas 63%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
12 Aug 2024
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