Kjelsas 3-1 Valerenga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
16.1
2-3 Goals
33%
3.22
4-5 Goals
35%
2.3
6+ Goals
16%
2.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-18.4pp
19%
Draw
8%
+10.6pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.88/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/4.05
-36% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
501 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kjelsas
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valerenga II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 Valerenga II Valerenga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
12.06.2023 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
12.09.2022 Valerenga II Valerenga II 0-3 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
25.07.2022 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-0 HT 1-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
14.09.2020 Valerenga II Valerenga II 2-1 HT 1-1 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
10.07.2015 Kjelsas Kjelsas 5-3 HT 4-0 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
POST-MATCH Kjelsas vs Valerenga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kjelsas beat Valerenga II 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kjelsas as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kjelsas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kjelsas and 1.33 for Valerenga II.

What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Valerenga II?

Kjelsas 3-1 Valerenga II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Valerenga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 67%, draw 19%, Valerenga II 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kjelsas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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