Arendal 3-3 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 16 May 2024

Arendal
3-3 HT 1-2
Jerv
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.92
2-3 Goals
47%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
7%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 22% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.00/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-44% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Jerv
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
01.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOK
16.08.2017 Jerv Jerv 2-3 HT 1-2 Arendal Arendal NOR1
06.05.2017 Arendal Arendal 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal and Jerv shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arendal and 1.33 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Jerv?

Arendal 3-3 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arendal 37%, draw 27%, Jerv 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arendal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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