Ümraniyespor 3-0 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.24
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
11%
5.81
X/2
9%
4.83
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
11%
32.0
2/2
19%
3.28
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.37/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.30
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.7 Crosses 14.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
328 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
16.09.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-3 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
3-0
AWAY Çorum FK
0.93 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
277 Passes 399
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor cruised past Çorum FK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ümraniyespor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 42% of the ball to Çorum FK's 58%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.93 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.50 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK?

Ümraniyespor 3-0 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 35%, draw 27%, Çorum FK 38%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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