Elgin City 1-4 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.44
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 25% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.16/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-90% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
15.07.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-0 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İKLK
09.10.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 2-4 HT 2-2 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCK
08.07.2017 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT HAZ
21.01.2017 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKK
08.01.2011 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İKK
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT cruised past Elgin City 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Inverness CT led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elgin City and 2.00 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Inverness CT?

Elgin City 1-4 Inverness CT in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 36%, draw 20%, Inverness CT 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ BTTS Yes
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