Inverness CT 2-0 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 22% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.51/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/3.45
-6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inverness CT
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Elgin City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
09.10.2021 Elgin City Elgin City 2-4 HT 2-2 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCK
08.07.2017 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT HAZ
21.01.2017 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 1-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKK
08.01.2011 Inverness CT Inverness CT 2-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İKK
POST-MATCH Inverness CT vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inverness CT beat Elgin City 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inverness CT as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Inverness CT had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inverness CT and 1.25 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Inverness CT vs Elgin City?

Inverness CT 2-0 Elgin City in the Scotland - League Cup on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inverness CT vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Inverness CT 58%, draw 25%, Elgin City 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ BTTS No
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