Annan Athletic 1-6 Ayr United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 15 Jul 2025

Annan Athletic
1-6 HT 0-2
Ayr United
📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Annan Athletic vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
46%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.54
2-3 Goals
34%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.32
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 32% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
14%
+15.9pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.8pp
46%
Away Win
67%
-20.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annan Athletic v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayr United EU Bookmakers 71%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.94/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.85
-4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
232 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Annan Athletic vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
The Meetings
19.07.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
13.10.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKLK
29.07.2017 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-6 HT 0-4 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
11.07.2015 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-3 HT 0-2 Ayr United Ayr United HAZ
04.09.2011 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKCK
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United swept aside Annan Athletic 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ayr United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Annan Athletic and 2.20 for Ayr United.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Ayr United?

Annan Athletic 1-6 Ayr United in the Scotland - League Cup on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Ayr United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 30%, draw 24%, Ayr United 46%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ BTTS No
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