Forfar Athletic 1-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 15 Jul 2025

Forfar Athletic
1-2 HT 0-1
St. Mirren
📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2025/2026

Forfar Athletic vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
7.95
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
47%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
32%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
10%
+17.5pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.7pp
47%
Away Win
72%
-25.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.4pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forfar Athletic v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 77%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.34/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.32
-59% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
192 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forfar Athletic vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
29.07.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 4-0 HT 4-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKLK
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren nicked a narrow win over Forfar Athletic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Mirren as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs St. Mirren?

Forfar Athletic 1-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - League Cup on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 27%, draw 25%, St. Mirren 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Mirren), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ BTTS Yes
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