Alloa Athletic 2-1 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-61% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Montrose
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 6
11 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK1
08.02.2025 Montrose Montrose 2-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
14.12.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
28.09.2024 Montrose Montrose 2-2 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
13.04.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
02.03.2024 Montrose Montrose 4-3 HT 2-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
FAQ Alloa Athletic vs Montrose
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Alloa Athletic edged past Montrose 2-1 in the Scotland - League Cup on 15 Jul 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.83 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?

Alloa Athletic 2-1 Montrose in the Scotland - League Cup on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 49%, draw 23%, Montrose 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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