Montrose 2-2 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.05
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.83
6+ Goals
12%
16.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.83 — our 29% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +16%
1.63/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.37
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
13.04.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
02.03.2024 Montrose Montrose 4-3 HT 2-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.12.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
07.10.2023 Montrose Montrose 2-1 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
29.04.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-4 HT 0-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
25.02.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montrose
2-2
AWAY Alloa Athletic
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 11
6 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montrose and Alloa Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Montrose had 51% of the ball to Alloa Athletic's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montrose and 1.83 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?

Montrose 2-2 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montrose 34%, draw 28%, Alloa Athletic 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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