Kelty Hearts 3-0 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.0
Over 2.5
40%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
46%
+13.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
54%
-13.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.88/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.74
-46% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
23.03.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-2 HT 3-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
13.01.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
04.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
02.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
23.09.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
30.04.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kelty Hearts
3-0
AWAY Annan Athletic
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
8 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts ran out comfortable winners over Annan Athletic 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kelty Hearts as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kelty Hearts had 50% of the ball to Annan Athletic's 50%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.50 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

Kelty Hearts 3-0 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 41%, draw 33%, Annan Athletic 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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