Kelty Hearts 1-1 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.65
X/2
14%
7.14
X/X
12%
5.3
2/1
6%
22.6
2/2
16%
4.85
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.93/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
-44% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Annan Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
04.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
02.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
23.09.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
30.04.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
26.02.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-1 HT 2-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
26.12.2021 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 5-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts and Annan Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.83 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

Kelty Hearts 1-1 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 39%, draw 24%, Annan Athletic 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
13 Jan 2024
18:00 Hamilton vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Montrose vs Stirling Albion Analysis →
18:00 Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic Analysis →
18:30 Edinburgh City vs Falkirk Analysis →