Edinburgh City 2-2 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
63%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.0
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
17.75
2-3 Goals
37%
3.39
4-5 Goals
21%
2.29
6+ Goals
22%
2.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
34.0
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
3%
34.0
X/1
11%
34.0
X/2
16%
4.24
X/X
13%
34.0
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+13.5pp
19%
Draw
8%
+11.6pp
63%
Away Win
88%
-25.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 94%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.79/3.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.43
+82% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +38%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Falkirk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
11.11.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 2-1 HT 1-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
02.09.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-2 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
18.04.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
28.01.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-2 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
12.11.2022 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
20.08.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 0-3 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Edinburgh City and Falkirk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Falkirk at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Edinburgh City and 2.00 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Falkirk?

Edinburgh City 2-2 Falkirk in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 18%, draw 19%, Falkirk 63%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Falkirk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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