Queen Of The South 1-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
12%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.15
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.98
X/2
14%
5.07
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.3
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.39/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.28
-8% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
11.11.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
05.08.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-4 HT 2-4 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
08.04.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
07.01.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.12.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-4 HT 2-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCK
12.11.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 5-1 HT 1-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South and Alloa Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Queen Of The South and 2.50 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Queen Of The South 1-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 37%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ BTTS Yes
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