Montrose 0-1 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.27
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.82
X/2
7%
5.95
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.39
2/X
5%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montrose EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.39/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/0.58
-14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montrose
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
23.09.2023 Montrose Montrose 1-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
04.09.2021 Montrose Montrose 1-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKCK
10.11.2020 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-1 HT 2-1 Montrose Montrose İKLK
07.04.2018 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-5 HT 0-1 Montrose Montrose İK2
27.01.2018 Montrose Montrose 2-1 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
23.12.2017 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-1 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK2
POST-MATCH Montrose vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion squeezed past Montrose 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Montrose at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montrose had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Montrose and 0.50 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Montrose vs Stirling Albion?

Montrose 0-1 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montrose vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montrose win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Montrose 49%, draw 25%, Stirling Albion 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montrose) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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