Annan Athletic 3-2 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

Annan Athletic
3-2 HT 3-1
Kelty Hearts
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.71
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 22% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Annan Athletic v Kelty Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 33%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.28
+83% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
04.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
02.09.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
23.09.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
30.04.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
26.02.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 3-1 HT 2-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic nicked a narrow win over Kelty Hearts 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Annan Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.83 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Annan Athletic 3-2 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 38%, draw 29%, Kelty Hearts 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annan Athletic), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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