Alloa Athletic 0-2 Queen Of The South — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.60/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.60
-7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
359 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Queen Of The South
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
13.01.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
11.11.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
05.08.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 3-4 HT 2-4 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
08.04.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 0-2 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İK1
07.01.2023 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-2 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.12.2022 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-4 HT 2-1 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCK
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South saw off Alloa Athletic 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alloa Athletic at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alloa Athletic and 1.83 for Queen Of The South.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South?

Alloa Athletic 0-2 Queen Of The South in the Scotland - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Queen Of The South?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 48%, draw 26%, Queen Of The South 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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