Cove Rangers 1-3 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.97
Over 2.5
61%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
47%
-7.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
53%
+7.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.7pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 57%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.57/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.54
+38% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +92%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hamilton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
13.01.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 2-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
04.11.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
05.08.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İK1
29.07.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKLK
08.04.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-1 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
23.12.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Hamilton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton got the better of Cove Rangers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cove Rangers and 1.00 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Hamilton?

Cove Rangers 1-3 Hamilton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 22%, draw 26%, Hamilton 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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