Queen Of The South 2-0 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queen Of The South EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.53/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.58
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queen Of The South
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
16.07.2024 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 2-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKLK
20.07.2019 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-4 HT 1-4 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKLK
10.03.2018 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
02.01.2018 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
28.11.2017 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-0 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South İKCL
19.08.2017 Queen Of The South Queen Of The South 1-0 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queen Of The South
2-0
AWAY Dumbarton
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
5 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queen Of The South saw off Dumbarton 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Queen Of The South found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Queen Of The South had 62% of the ball to Dumbarton's 38%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queen Of The South had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Queen Of The South and 0.50 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton?

Queen Of The South 2-0 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queen Of The South vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queen Of The South win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queen Of The South 40%, draw 30%, Dumbarton 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queen Of The South) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queen Of The South) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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