Cove Rangers 2-4 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cove Rangers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.52/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.58
-5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cove Rangers
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Arbroath
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
22.04.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
18.02.2023 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 1-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
12.11.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 1-0 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers İKCL
01.10.2022 Cove Rangers Cove Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cove Rangers
2-4
AWAY Arbroath
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
9 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cove Rangers vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath beat Cove Rangers 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Arbroath made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Cove Rangers had 41% of the ball to Arbroath's 59%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cove Rangers had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cove Rangers and 0.50 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Cove Rangers vs Arbroath?

Cove Rangers 2-4 Arbroath in the Scotland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cove Rangers vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cove Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cove Rangers 39%, draw 26%, Arbroath 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cove Rangers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cove Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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